It is said
that if someone is to be unpopular, they must look the part. House Republicans
appear to have seized that visage for now.
In Tuesday
night’s Senate primaries, things didn’t go well in West Virginia for Republican
Rep. Evan Jenkins, who lost the GOP nomination to square off with Sen. Joe
Manchin, D-W.Va., in November. Patrick Morrisey earned that honor, vanquishing
Jenkins and former coal mine executive and convict Don Blankenship.
It was a
double-whammy in the Hoosier State for House Republicans Tuesday.
Not long ago,
political handicappers believed that Sen. Joe Donnelly, D-Ind., would face
either Rep. Luke Messer, R-Ind., or Todd Rokita, R-Ind., in the general
election. Nope. Messer and Rokita excoriated each other for months. In
commercials, Republican Mike Braun exploited the internecine fighting between
Messer and Rokita. Braun portrayed the Republican congressmen as bickering,
grade-school rivals who each thought they were hot stuff. Another Braun ad
asserted there was really no difference between Messer and Rokita. That spot
portrayed both congressmen as life-size, cardboard cutouts.
Braun won –
now he, not Messer or Rokita, will face incumbent Donnelly in the general
election.
And then
there was Rep. Robert Pittenger, R-N.C. Pittenger defeated challenger Mark
Harris by a mere 134 votes in the 2016 GOP primary. Pittenger wasn’t as lucky
this week, becoming the first House incumbent to lose in the 2018 cycle.
The exception
to poor House Republican performance on Tuesday may have been Rep. Jim Renacci,
R-Ohio, who defeated Mike Gibbons to secure the GOP nomination to face Sen.
Sherrod Brown, D-Ohio, this fall. But House Republicans see trouble.
A primary
loss always sends shockwaves through a party on Capitol Hill. Who’s next?
Members of Congress are paranoid. They freak out when a greenhorn decapitates
one of their own in a primary. Even the House chaplain isn’t safe. And don’t
forget the lesson of Rep. Conor Lamb, D-Pa., who flipped a historically
Republican district in a special election to Democratic control recently. Rep.
Debbie Lesko, R-Ariz., just won a special election to succeed former Rep. Trent
Franks, R-Ariz., who resigned. But Lesko’s margin of victory was less than what
it should have been in that Republican stronghold.House Republicans are
fretting about losing the House. There’s chatter about a “blue wave.”
Retirements and departures are off the charts. House Speaker Paul Ryan, R-Wis.,
will soon be gone. An eye-popping nine House committee chairmen are exiting.
Rep. Charlie
Dent, R-Pa., is retiring. Then Dent announced he was quitting early. Dent is
out the door at the end of the week. GOPers are nervous about how they
“message” tax reform. Mike Braun was more than happy to aim the roll-call votes
of Messer and Rokita back at them. Braun criticized Messer and Rokita for
raising the debt ceiling and approving frameworks for “Obama trade deals.”
The issue may
be how House Republicans decouple themselves from “The Swamp.”
Yes, it was
only the House that managed to approve a bill to repeal and replace ObamaCare.
That made good on a Republican promise dating back to 2009. But the measure
died in the Senate. Sure. There’s tax reform. But it’s unclear how that message
plays among poor or swing voters. Do House Republicans embrace President Trump?
Or are they better suited to go it alone and build distance between themselves
and the president?
Rep. Steve
Stivers, R-Ohio, chairs the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC),
the national organization charged with electing GOPers to the House. A surprise
awaited Stivers outside the Capitol late Wednesday. Former Rep. Steve Driehaus,
D-Ohio, materialized near the House steps. Driehaus served one term in
Congress, defeating Rep. Steve Chabot, R-Ohio, in 2008. But Chabot rallied to
topple Driehaus in 2010. Chabot’s 2008 loss is the only time Democrats have
been able to unseat the Ohio Republican in a district they regularly try to
flip. But on Wednesday, Driehaus had with him Aftab Pureval, the Hamilton
County Clerk of Courts. Pureval just secured the Democratic nomination to face
Chabot this fall. Many regard Pureval as the best chance Democrats have to
unseat Chabot since Driehaus. It’s the type of district which could fall in a
“blue wave.”
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