Avengers:
Infinity War’ Just Might Obliterate China’s “Avengers: Infinity War” reached
$1.25 billion at the global box office on Thursday, and this weekend the hit
movies is expected to storm into the top ten highest-grossing films of all
time. That’s in large part because the Marvel film is finally opening in China,
where interest in it has hit highs never before reached by a superhero movie in
the country.
Estimates for
ticket presales for “Avengers” have reached approximately $50 million, topping
the country’s presale record set by “Monster Hunt 2” earlier this year and
doubling the best presale performance by a Hollywood import, which was last
year’s “The Fate of the Furious” with $25 million.
That’s not a
guarantee “Infinity War” will pass either of those films on China’s box office
charts, but it does show there’s as much interest in Marvel in the country as
there is anywhere else in the world — and certainly more than Disney’s other
big IP, “Star Wars,” which hasn’t had the same impact in the Middle Kingdom as
it has elsewhere. China Film Insider analyst Jonathan Papish told TheWrap that
over the past several years, audiences have turned up for films that offer more
than one superhero.
“Solo
superhero films seemed to have hit a plateau. They don’t get far beyond $100
million,” said Papish of trends among moviegoers in China. “But ensemble films
like ‘Avengers’ and, to a lesser extent, ‘Captain America: Civil War,’ have
gathered more interest.”Papish added that the third “Avengers” film likely
won’t sell many tickets among general audiences and in smaller Chinese markets,
so weekday numbers should be muted. But hardcore Marvel fans should give it
strong numbers in the weekends ahead, especially considering that “Deadpool 2,”
which will draw away the comic book movie crowd in other countries starting
next weekend, doesn’t have a release date in China.
The only
major Hollywood import coming for the next three weeks that might be a speed
bump for “Avengers” is “A Quiet Place,” John Krasinski’s horror movie that has become
Paramount’s biggest domestic hit in nearly three years. But other than that,
“Avengers” is expected to be China’s main blockbuster offering until “Jurassic
World: Fallen Kingdom” arrives on June 15.
This means
that when all is said and done, “Infinity War” could set a new Chinese record
for superhero movies, beating the $240 million made by “Avengers: Age of
Ultron” three years ago. Between China’s opening and the holdover performance
from the rest of the world (the film is expected to make $55-$60 million in its
third weekend in the U.S.) “Infinity War” should make enough to become one of
the top five highest grossing films of all-time and beat the all-time summer
record set by 2015’s “Jurassic World” with $1.67 billion.And if Thanos’
invasion especially over-performs in China, “Avengers” might have a chance of
becoming only the third film ever — and first released in the summer — to gross
$2 billion worldwide. It has already broken the global record as the film to
fastest reach $1 billion.
“Whether or
not the film hits $2 billion, I think the bigger story is how this film
performs in a still-developing Chinese market,” said BoxOffice magazine
managing editor Daniel Loria. “The Marvel Cinematic Universe has grown
alongside the buying power of the Chinese box office, so it’s always difficult
to directly compare how one superhero film does against another as more and
more cineplexes and premium screens get added each year.”
“It will be
interesting to see how an event film like this does in such a rapidly-growing
market, and whether we see a big turn out at IMAX locations like we’ve seen in
the rest of the world.”
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